Group C · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford · 2026-06-13 · ☀️ 18:00 – ~19:55 ET (end time is approximate — stoppage time can stretch it)
Pre-match: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-12 18:31Z)
Full-time recap
Haiti
ScotlandWin likelihood as the game unfolds
Each line is the chance of that result given the score and time left, updated every ~30 seconds. X-axis is the game minute.
Final-score race
Each line is one possible final score, labeled at the right edge — colored by who that score favors (BRA blue, draws gray, MAR amber). Watch a line take off when a goal goes in.
Match timeline
BRA events above the line, MAR below · ⚽ goal · ⚽P penalty · ❌ miss · yellow / red cards
Live match stats
When one side is creating more — more shots, shots on target and possession — we nudge their remaining scoring pace up and the other's down, so the charts react to how the game is actually being played, not just the scoreline.
Most likely final scores
How often each final score would happen if this game were played many times. Green is what Fufuball predicts — even the best pick only lands roughly 1 game in 6, so treat the spread as the real forecast.
Match facts
Why this prediction
The betting market (fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-12 18:31Z)) makes Brazil the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Brazil 60%, draw 24%, Morocco 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.7 goals for Brazil and 0.7 for Morocco. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Brazil #6 vs Morocco #7 — Brazil rate higher than Morocco.
Marquee game of the opening weekend - effectively decides top spot in Group C. Ancelotti's first WC as Brazil boss with patchy form (beat Croatia 3-1, lost to France 2-1 in March); Vinicius and Raphinha lead. Morocco are reigning AFCON champions but coach Regragui resigned afterward - rookie Mohamed Ouahbi now in charge; won all 8 CAF qualifiers (22-2 goals). Hakimi vs Vinicius is the key duel; Morocco won the last meeting 2-1 (2023).
Forecast high heat (32°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Devigged sportsbook odds → three-market triangulation → Dixon-Coles scorelines · generated 2026-06-12T18:31:48+00:00
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