Group A · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara · 2026-06-11 · 🌤️ 22:00 – ~23:55 ET (end time is approximate — stoppage time can stretch it)
Pre-match: sportsbook close (2026-06-11 19:49Z)
Récap fin de match
Mexico
South AfricaProbabilité de victoire au fil du match
Each line is the chance of that result given the score and time left, updated every ~30 seconds. X-axis is the game minute.
Course au score final
Each line is one possible final score, labeled at the right edge — colored by who that score favors (KOR blue, draws gray, CZE amber). Watch a line take off when a goal goes in.
Danger Share
Cumulative danger share from shots on target, shots, and possession. Above 50% = South Korea generating more threat; below 50% = Czechia. Updated every ~30s.
Chronologie du match
KOR events above the line, CZE below · ⚽ goal · ⚽P penalty · ❌ miss · yellow / red cards
Stats en direct
When one side is creating more — more shots, shots on target and possession — we nudge their remaining scoring pace up and the other's down, so the charts react to how the game is actually being played, not just the scoreline.
Scores finaux les plus probables
How often each final score would happen if this game were played many times. Green is what Fufuball predicts — even the best pick only lands roughly 1 game in 6, so treat the spread as the real forecast.
Infos sur le match
Pourquoi cette prédiction
The betting market makes South Korea the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say South Korea 36%, draw 32%, Czechia 33%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.2 goals for South Korea and 1.1 for Czechia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: South Korea #25 vs Czechia #40 — South Korea rate higher than Czechia.
Tightest line of the opening slate - near pick'em. Czechia's first WC as an independent nation since 2006 (came through the UEFA playoffs); Korea built around the Son Heung-min generation in its likely final World Cup cycle.
Devigged sportsbook odds → three-market triangulation → Dixon-Coles scorelines · generated 2026-06-12T20:01:54+00:00
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