World Cup · June 11 — July 19 2026 · USA MEX CAN
The betting market makes Mexico the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Mexico 68%, draw 21%, South Africa 10%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Mexico and 0.6 for South Africa. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Mexico #14 vs South Africa #60 — Mexico rate higher than South Africa.
Tournament opener, rematch of the 2010 opener (1-1). Mexico unbeaten in 8 in 2026 with 6 clean sheets, beat Serbia 5-1 on Jun 4; Rangel expected in goal (Malagon out, ruptured Achilles), Edson Alvarez back from injury. South Africa winless in 5; altitude camp in Pachuca but Azteca sits at 2,240m with a ~87,500 sellout.
Odds: sportsbook close (2026-06-11 19:49Z) — 1.435 / 4.3 / 8.5, line -1.5.
The betting market makes South Korea the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say South Korea 36%, draw 32%, Czechia 33%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.2 goals for South Korea and 1.1 for Czechia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: South Korea #25 vs Czechia #40 — South Korea rate higher than Czechia.
Tightest line of the opening slate - near pick'em. Czechia's first WC as an independent nation since 2006 (came through the UEFA playoffs); Korea built around the Son Heung-min generation in its likely final World Cup cycle.
Odds: sportsbook close (2026-06-11 19:49Z) — 2.7 / 3.05 / 2.95, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Canada the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Canada 53%, draw 27%, Bosnia-Herzegovina 20%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Canada and 0.8 for Bosnia-Herzegovina. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Canada #30 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina #64 — Canada rate higher than Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Canada's first home men's World Cup match, right after the Canadian opening ceremony at BMO Field. Bosnia's first WC since 2014 - qualified by beating Italy in the playoff final.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.88 / 3.711 / 5.038, line -0.5.
The betting market makes United States the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say United States 46%, draw 29%, Paraguay 24%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.3 goals for United States and 0.9 for Paraguay. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: United States #17 vs Paraguay #41 — United States rate higher than Paraguay.
Pochettino's USMNT beat Senegal 3-2 then lost the final warm-up 2-1 to Germany; Pulisic and Balogun (19 goals for Monaco) lead the attack, Chris Richards (ankle) only just back. Paraguay under Alfaro are pragmatic and set-piece based, won 3 of last 4 and beat Argentina in qualifying. USA won the Nov 2025 friendly meeting 2-1.
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (21°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.162 / 3.392 / 4.122, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Switzerland the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Qatar 6%, draw 13%, Switzerland 81%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.5 goals for Qatar and 2.4 for Switzerland. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Qatar #56 vs Switzerland #19 — Switzerland rate higher than Qatar.
Most lopsided line of the opening slate (Switzerland -425). Qatar's first World Cup reached through qualification - in 2022 as hosts they lost all three games.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 17.129 / 7.507 / 1.237, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Brazil the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Brazil 60%, draw 24%, Morocco 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.7 goals for Brazil and 0.7 for Morocco. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Brazil #6 vs Morocco #7 — Brazil rate higher than Morocco.
Marquee game of the opening weekend - effectively decides top spot in Group C. Ancelotti's first WC as Brazil boss with patchy form (beat Croatia 3-1, lost to France 2-1 in March); Vinicius and Raphinha lead. Morocco are reigning AFCON champions but coach Regragui resigned afterward - rookie Mohamed Ouahbi now in charge; won all 8 CAF qualifiers (22-2 goals). Hakimi vs Vinicius is the key duel; Morocco won the last meeting 2-1 (2023).
Forecast high heat (31°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.675 / 4.141 / 6.194, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Scotland the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Haiti 16%, draw 22%, Scotland 62%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for Haiti and 1.9 for Scotland. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Haiti #83 vs Scotland #42 — Scotland rate higher than Haiti.
Scotland's first men's World Cup since 1998; Haiti's first since 1974, qualified amid domestic crisis having played home qualifiers abroad. The 2.5-goal total is priced dead even both ways.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 6.426 / 4.55 / 1.601, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Türkiye the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Australia 18%, draw 25%, Türkiye 57%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Australia and 1.7 for Türkiye. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
FIFA rankings: Australia #27 vs Türkiye #22 — Türkiye rate higher than Australia.
Part of the June 13 slate locally (Vancouver 9pm). Türkiye's first World Cup since their third-place finish in 2002.
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (22°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 5.559 / 4.031 / 1.748, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Germany the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Germany 95%, draw 3%, Curaçao 1%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.5 goals for Germany and 0.0 for Curaçao. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -3.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (30°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 30 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.05 / 29.103 / 77.564, line -3.5.
The betting market makes Netherlands the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Netherlands 49%, draw 26%, Japan 25%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for Netherlands and 1.1 for Japan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (29°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 30 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 2.051 / 3.8 / 4.011, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Ecuador the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Ivory Coast 26%, draw 34%, Ecuador 40%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.3 goals for Ivory Coast and 1.6 for Ecuador. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (29°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 3.805 / 2.968 / 2.499, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Sweden the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Sweden 52%, draw 27%, Tunisia 21%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Sweden and 0.8 for Tunisia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (29°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (2026-06-12 18:31Z) — 1.936 / 3.682 / 4.722, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Spain the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Spain 90%, draw 7%, Cape Verde 3%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.8 goals for Spain and 0.0 for Cape Verde. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (26°C) don't apply.
Odds: sportsbook close (2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.1 / 11.0 / 21.0, line -2.5.
The betting market makes Belgium the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Belgium 61%, draw 23%, Egypt 15%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Belgium and 0.8 for Egypt. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.626 / 4.345 / 6.452, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Uruguay the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Saudi Arabia 11%, draw 21%, Uruguay 68%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for Saudi Arabia and 1.9 for Uruguay. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 9.262 / 4.77 / 1.465, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Iran the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Iran 55%, draw 27%, New Zealand 19%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Iran and 0.8 for New Zealand. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (20°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.833 / 3.711 / 5.402, line -0.5.
The betting market makes France the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say France 67%, draw 21%, Senegal 12%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.9 goals for France and 0.7 for Senegal. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.493 / 4.814 / 8.153, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Norway the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Iraq 5%, draw 12%, Norway 83%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.5 goals for Iraq and 2.6 for Norway. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +2.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 19.268 / 8.535 / 1.203, line +2.0.
The betting market makes Argentina the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Argentina 71%, draw 20%, Algeria 10%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.0 goals for Argentina and 0.6 for Algeria. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.417 / 5.093 / 10.209, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Austria the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Austria 73%, draw 17%, Jordan 10%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.2 goals for Austria and 0.7 for Jordan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.361 / 5.99 / 10.183, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Portugal the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Portugal 77%, draw 16%, Congo DR 8%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Portugal and 0.6 for Congo DR. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (24°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.304 / 6.407 / 13.025, line -1.5.
The betting market makes England the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say England 57%, draw 25%, Croatia 18%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for England and 1.0 for Croatia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.8 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (33°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.765 / 4.008 / 5.44, line -0.8.
The betting market makes Ghana the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Ghana 45%, draw 28%, Panama 27%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Ghana and 1.0 for Panama. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.246 / 3.575 / 3.637, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Colombia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Uzbekistan 10%, draw 19%, Colombia 71%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for Uzbekistan and 2.0 for Colombia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 10.336 / 5.227 / 1.405, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Czechia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Czechia 55%, draw 25%, South Africa 20%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for Czechia and 0.9 for South Africa. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (27°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.813 / 4.004 / 5.031, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Switzerland the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Switzerland 63%, draw 23%, Bosnia-Herzegovina 15%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Switzerland and 0.7 for Bosnia-Herzegovina. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (22°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.594 / 4.429 / 6.803, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Canada the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Canada 77%, draw 15%, Qatar 7%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Canada and 0.6 for Qatar. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (23°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.293 / 6.46 / 13.912, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Mexico the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Mexico 49%, draw 28%, South Korea 23%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Mexico and 0.9 for South Korea. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.051 / 3.521 / 4.378, line -0.5.
The betting market makes United States the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say United States 61%, draw 22%, Australia 17%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for United States and 0.8 for Australia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.635 / 4.52 / 5.989, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Morocco the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Scotland 18%, draw 26%, Morocco 56%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for Scotland and 1.6 for Morocco. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 5.524 / 3.826 / 1.793, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Brazil the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Brazil 90%, draw 7%, Haiti 3%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Brazil and 0.0 for Haiti. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.117 / 13.655 / 31.352, line -2.5.
The betting market makes Türkiye the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Türkiye 48%, draw 28%, Paraguay 24%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Türkiye and 1.0 for Paraguay. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 31 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.092 / 3.547 / 4.167, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Netherlands the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Netherlands 58%, draw 24%, Sweden 19%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for Netherlands and 1.1 for Sweden. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.8 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (30°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.727 / 4.243 / 5.4, line -0.8.
The betting market makes Germany the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Germany 63%, draw 21%, Ivory Coast 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.0 goals for Germany and 0.9 for Ivory Coast. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.578 / 4.803 / 6.329, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Ecuador the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Ecuador 90%, draw 7%, Curaçao 3%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.8 goals for Ecuador and 0.2 for Curaçao. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.115 / 13.74 / 32.806, line -2.5.
The betting market makes Japan the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Tunisia 13%, draw 23%, Japan 64%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.7 goals for Tunisia and 1.7 for Japan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (29°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 29 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 7.584 / 4.401 / 1.56, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Spain the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Spain 90%, draw 7%, Saudi Arabia 3%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Spain and 0.0 for Saudi Arabia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (30°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.115 / 13.45 / 34.388, line -2.5.
The betting market makes Belgium the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Belgium 71%, draw 19%, Iran 11%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.0 goals for Belgium and 0.7 for Iran. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (21°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.411 / 5.372 / 9.514, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Uruguay the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Uruguay 67%, draw 21%, Cape Verde 12%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Uruguay and 0.7 for Cape Verde. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (32°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.486 / 4.841 / 8.293, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Egypt the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say New Zealand 19%, draw 25%, Egypt 56%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for New Zealand and 1.6 for Egypt. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (19°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 5.256 / 4.008 / 1.785, line +0.5.
The betting market makes France the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say France 89%, draw 8%, Iraq 3%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for France and 0.0 for Iraq. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -2.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.123 / 12.069 / 37.581, line -2.5.
The betting market makes Argentina the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Argentina 60%, draw 24%, Austria 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Argentina and 0.8 for Austria. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (31°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.661 / 4.212 / 6.235, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Norway the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Norway 45%, draw 27%, Senegal 28%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Norway and 1.1 for Senegal. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.209 / 3.716 / 3.594, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Algeria the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Jordan 13%, draw 21%, Algeria 65%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for Jordan and 1.9 for Algeria. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 7.55 / 4.664 / 1.531, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Portugal the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Portugal 79%, draw 14%, Uzbekistan 7%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.4 goals for Portugal and 0.7 for Uzbekistan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (32°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.26 / 7.309 / 14.439, line -1.5.
The betting market makes England the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say England 75%, draw 16%, Ghana 9%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for England and 0.7 for Ghana. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.34 / 6.058 / 11.245, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Croatia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Panama 14%, draw 24%, Croatia 63%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for Panama and 1.8 for Croatia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 7.273 / 4.232 / 1.597, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Colombia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Colombia 67%, draw 21%, Congo DR 12%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Colombia and 0.6 for Congo DR. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 28 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.489 / 4.692 / 8.672, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Bosnia-Herzegovina the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Bosnia-Herzegovina 63%, draw 23%, Qatar 14%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.8 goals for Bosnia-Herzegovina and 0.8 for Qatar. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.593 / 4.391 / 6.924, line -1.0.
The betting market makes Switzerland the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Switzerland 45%, draw 28%, Canada 27%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.6 goals for Switzerland and 0.9 for Canada. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (12°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.208 / 3.584 / 3.73, line -0.2.
The betting market makes Brazil the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Scotland 13%, draw 18%, Brazil 68%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.7 goals for Scotland and 1.9 for Brazil. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (30°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 7.642 / 5.429 / 1.46, line +1.0.
The betting market makes Morocco the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Morocco 76%, draw 16%, Haiti 8%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 2.3 goals for Morocco and 0.7 for Haiti. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (21°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.31 / 6.445 / 12.248, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Mexico the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Czechia 20%, draw 26%, Mexico 54%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Czechia and 1.6 for Mexico. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 5.008 / 3.785 / 1.865, line +0.5.
The betting market makes South Korea the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say South Africa 16%, draw 23%, South Korea 61%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.8 goals for South Africa and 1.8 for South Korea. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 6.361 / 4.331 / 1.634, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Ivory Coast the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Curaçao 4%, draw 9%, Ivory Coast 87%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.3 goals for Curaçao and 2.5 for Ivory Coast. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +2.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (29°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 25.55 / 10.882 / 1.151, line +2.0.
The betting market makes Germany the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Ecuador 19%, draw 25%, Germany 56%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.1 goals for Ecuador and 1.6 for Germany. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.8 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 5.175 / 4.062 / 1.784, line +0.8.
The betting market makes Japan the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Japan 46%, draw 27%, Sweden 27%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Japan and 1.1 for Sweden. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (36°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.187 / 3.637 / 3.733, line -0.5.
The betting market makes Netherlands the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Tunisia 9%, draw 17%, Netherlands 74%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for Tunisia and 2.1 for Netherlands. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (30°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 24 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 10.534 / 5.943 / 1.357, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Paraguay the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Paraguay 44%, draw 29%, Australia 27%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Paraguay and 0.8 for Australia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 23 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.248 / 3.501 / 3.709, line -0.2.
The betting market makes United States the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Türkiye 34%, draw 26%, United States 40%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.3 goals for Türkiye and 1.4 for United States. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (20°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 23 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.907 / 3.839 / 2.529, line +0.0.
The betting market makes France the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Norway 21%, draw 25%, France 53%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.0 goals for Norway and 1.6 for France. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 23 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 4.667 / 3.927 / 1.883, line +0.5.
The betting market makes Senegal the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Senegal 70%, draw 19%, Iraq 11%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.9 goals for Senegal and 0.6 for Iraq. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (28°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 23 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.433 / 5.139 / 9.277, line -1.5.
The betting market makes Cape Verde the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Cape Verde 39%, draw 26%, Saudi Arabia 35%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.3 goals for Cape Verde and 1.2 for Saudi Arabia. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (30°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 15 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.559 / 3.909 / 2.829, line +0.0.
The betting market makes Spain the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Uruguay 17%, draw 24%, Spain 60%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.0 goals for Uruguay and 1.7 for Spain. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.8 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 15 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 5.947 / 4.242 / 1.678, line +0.8.
The betting market makes Belgium the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say New Zealand 8%, draw 15%, Belgium 76%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.7 goals for New Zealand and 2.3 for Belgium. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (19°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 12.006 / 6.478 / 1.312, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Egypt the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Egypt 43%, draw 31%, Iran 26%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Egypt and 0.8 for Iran. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.329 / 3.234 / 3.825, line -0.2.
The betting market makes Croatia the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Croatia 59%, draw 24%, Ghana 16%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.5 goals for Croatia and 0.8 for Ghana. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.8 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast extreme heat (34°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 10%.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 1.681 / 4.113 / 6.171, line -0.8.
The betting market makes England the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Panama 8%, draw 14%, England 77%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for Panama and 2.3 for England. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +1.5 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Forecast high heat (31°C) at kickoff — total goals trimmed 5%.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 11.811 / 7.069 / 1.292, line +1.5.
The betting market makes Portugal the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Colombia 27%, draw 28%, Portugal 45%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Colombia and 1.6 for Portugal. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 3.751 / 3.541 / 2.217, line +0.2.
The betting market makes Congo DR the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Congo DR 41%, draw 29%, Uzbekistan 30%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 1.4 goals for Congo DR and 0.9 for Uzbekistan. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of -0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (32°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 2.428 / 3.483 / 3.321, line -0.2.
The betting market makes Austria the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Algeria 26%, draw 30%, Austria 44%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.9 goals for Algeria and 1.6 for Austria. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +0.2 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 3.859 / 3.367 / 2.253, line +0.2.
The betting market makes Argentina the favorite: once the bookmaker's built-in profit margin is stripped out, the prices say Jordan 5%, draw 12%, Argentina 83%. Markets like this are historically the most accurate public forecast there is.
We expect a scoring pace of roughly 0.6 goals for Jordan and 2.6 for Argentina. That comes from two more markets: the over/under (how many total goals bettors expect) and the goal handicap of +2.0 (how big a head start the underdog would need to make the game a coin flip).
Roofed/climate-controlled stadium — outside conditions (33°C) don't apply.
Odds: fair consensus of 20 sportsbooks (as of 2026-06-15 17:00Z) — 18.553 / 8.575 / 1.206, line +2.0.
Devigged sportsbook odds → three-market triangulation → Dixon-Coles scorelines · generated 2026-06-15T17:00:48+00:00
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